Member Since 1993
Cecilia M. Bitz
Professor, University of Washington Seattle
AGU Research
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Forecast Skill of the Arctic Sea Ice Outlook over 2008 - 2022: How Good are Sea Ice Forecasts, and How Can They Get Better?
PREDICTION AND UNDERSTANDING IN THE ARCTIC AND ANTARCTIC COUPLED SEA ICE–OCEAN–CLIMATE SYSTEMS II POSTER
cryosphere | 14 december 2023
Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Mitchell Bushuk, F...
The Sea Ice Outlook has collected, analyzed, and disseminated seasonal forecasts of September sea ice annually since 2008. As this community forecasti...
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Interseasonal dependence of Arctic warming on radiative heating
POLAR AMPLIFICATION AND ITS CONNECTION TO LOWER-LATITUDE WEATHER AND CLIMATE I ORAL
atmospheric sciences | 14 december 2023
Lily Hahn, Kyle Armour, David S. Battisti, Cecilia...
Arctic near-surface warming under increased CO2 peaks in winter, motivating many studies to focus on the wintertime processes that mediate this warmin...
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Record Arctic Cyclone of January 2022 - how the Strongest Arctic Storm Led to a Record Sea Ice Loss (and a Poor Forecast)
EXTRATROPICAL AND HIGH-LATITUDE STORMS, CIRCULATION DYNAMICS, AND EXTREME EVENTS IN THE RAPIDLY CHANGING POLAR CLIMATE I ORAL
atmospheric sciences | 14 december 2023
Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Melinda Webster, C...
We investigate the record low sea level pressure (SLP) Arctic cyclone which formed over East Greenland and tracked NE over the Barents and Kara seas b...
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Insights into Arctic Cyclones and Tropopause Polar Vortices from Data Assimilation in Variable-Resolution CESM2
PREDICTION AND UNDERSTANDING IN THE ARCTIC AND ANTARCTIC COUPLED SEA ICE–OCEAN–CLIMATE SYSTEMS II POSTER
cryosphere | 14 december 2023
Robin P. Clancy, Steven M. Cavallo, Cecilia M. Bit...
The evolution of Arctic cyclones is governed by processes from the surface through to the tropopause. At the tropopause, long-lived, sub-synoptic feat...
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Rapid Sea Ice Loss Events in the Arctic
PREDICTION AND UNDERSTANDING IN THE ARCTIC AND ANTARCTIC COUPLED SEA ICE–OCEAN–CLIMATE SYSTEMS I ORAL
cryosphere | 13 december 2023
Francois E. Massonnet, Stephen J. Vavrus, Torben K...
The Arctic is currently transitioning toward a new climatic state that will be characterized by seasonally sea-ice-free conditions almost every year f...
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Closing Key Gaps in Climate Model Diagnostics
SYSTEMATIC BENCHMARKING OF EARTH SYSTEM MODELS POSTER
global environmental change | 12 december 2023
J David Neelin, Wei-Ming Tsai, Suqin DUAN, Travis ...
Three current thrusts in development of climate model diagnostics are overviewed, with an eye to how efforts can be coordinated to close some key gaps...
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The Physics of Summertime Antarctic Extreme Heat Events
HEAT WAVES BEHIND THE SCENES: DRIVERS, MECHANISMS, AND IMPACTS III POSTER
atmospheric sciences | 11 december 2023
Zac Espinosa, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Aaro...
Across much of the globe, extreme heat events have become more frequent and intense, amplifying the risk of their associated socio-economic damages. A...
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The Climate Response to the Mt. Pinatubo Eruption Does Not Constrain Climate Sensitivity
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
31 march 2023
Andrew Pauling, Cecilia M. Bitz, Kyle Armour
The climate response to the Mt. Pinatubo volcanic eruption is analyzed using large ensembles of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP...