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Member Since 2018
Jeroen Aerts
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
AGU Research
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Predicting Food‐Security Crises in the Horn of Africa Using Machine Learning
EARTH'S FUTURE
09 august 2024
Tim Busker, Bart van den Hurk, Hans de Moel, Marc ...

In this study, we present a machine‐learning model capable of predicting food insecurity in the Horn of Africa, which is one of the most vuln...

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Evaluating Adaptation Pathways in a Complex Multi‐Risk System
EARTH'S FUTURE
28 may 2024
Julius Schlumberger, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Jeroen Ae...

Disaster Risk Management (DRM) is complex due to interacting climate risks from interacting hazards and sectors. We develop a synthetic multi‐...

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An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)
EARTH'S FUTURE
01 march 2024
Lena Reimann, Elco Koks, Hans de Moel, Marijn Ton,...

Fatalities caused by natural hazards are driven not only by population exposure, but also by their vulnerability to these events, determined by int...

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Global Projections of Storm Surges Using High‐Resolution CMIP6 Climate Models
EARTH'S FUTURE
13 september 2023
Sanne Muis, Jeroen Aerts, Jose A. Antolinez, Job D...

In the coming decades, coastal flooding will become more frequent due to sea‐level rise and potential changes in storms. To produce global st...

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Flood Vulnerability Models and Household Flood Damage Mitigation Measures: An Econometric Analysis of Survey Data
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
31 july 2023
Thijs Endendijk, Willem J. Botzen, Hans de Moel, J...

Flood events are expected to increase in their frequency and severity, which results in higher flood risk without additional adaptation measures. T...

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Advances and Limits to applying Agent Based Models in Water Risk Modelling
SOCIOHYDROLOGY: INTEGRATING COMPLEX DYNAMICS AND BROADENING SOCIAL IMPACTS I ORAL
science and society | 17 december 2021
Jeroen Aerts, Toon Haer, Hans de Moel, Jens De Bru...
A particular feature of coupled human-water systems is that they are inherently complex, characterized by non-linearities, feedbacks, thresholds, and ...
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ADOPT, a socio-hydrologic, agent-based drought adaptation model to evaluate drought risk reduction strategies for smallholder farmers in semi-arid Kenya
HYDROLOGY, SOCIETY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE: CONVERGENT APPROACHES TO HUMAN–WATER INTERACTIONS I
hydrology | 14 december 2020
Marthe Wens, Ted Veldkamp, Anne Van Loon, J Michae...
To account for dynamic adaptive behaviour in risk models, we developed a multidisciplinary agricultural drought risk model, ADOPT, that simulates the ...
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Global River Discharge and Floods in the Warmer Climate of the Last Interglacial
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
17 september 2020
Paolo Scussolini, Dirk Eilander, Edwin Sutanudjaja...

We investigate hydrology during a past climate slightly warmer than the present: the last interglacial (LIG). With daily output of preindustrial an...

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