Member Since 1991
Bill Drew Collins
Senior Scientist, Professor, and Associate Laboratory Director, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
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The Role of Atmospheric River Sequencing and Land Preconditions on US West Coast Runoff
AGU 2024
atmospheric sciences | 13 december 2024
Yang Zhou, Joshua North, Alan Rhoades, Jing Tao, W...
This study investigates the factors influencing runoff response to atmospheric rivers (ARs) over the U.S. West Coast. We focused on runoff time series...
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Design and generation of ensemble weather forecasts using Spherical Fourier Neural Operators
AGU 2024
atmospheric sciences | 12 december 2024
Ankur Mahesh, William D. Collins, Peter Harrington...
Simulating low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting...
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Challenges to predicting hydrological responses to future changes in regional and global aerosol burdens
AGU 2024
global environmental change | 11 december 2024
William D. Collins, Mark D. Risser, Michael F. Weh...
At regional scales, multimodel ensembles (MMEs) of current Earth System Models (ESMs) produce very heterogeneous projections of the human influence on...
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What's Past is Prologue: Studies of Extreme Weather using Machine Learning and Climate Emulators
AGU 2024
atmospheric sciences | 10 december 2024
William D. Collins, Ankur Mahesh, Boris Bonev, Yai...
Studying low-likelihood high-impact climate events in a warming world requires massive ensembles of hindcasts and forecasts to capture their statistic...
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The Reliability Diagram: A Diagnostic Tool for Assessing Extreme Event Prediction in FourCastNet
ONLINE POSTER SESSION FOR ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES: EXTREMES - PRECIPITATION IX
atmospheric sciences | 23 january 2024
Joshua Elms, Ankur Mahesh, Travis A. O'Brien, Will...
Global forecast models are diverse and abundant, but they share a common goal: predict future weather conditions. While it is clear that these models ...
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Constraining Future Projections of Atmospheric Rivers using Poleward Latent Heat Transport
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS: PROCESSES, IMPACTS, AND UNCERTAINTIES I ORAL
atmospheric sciences | 15 december 2023
Ankur Mahesh, Travis A. O'Brien, William R. Boos, ...
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are extreme weather events that can alleviate drought or cause billions of dollars in flood damage. Because they transport la...
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Temporal Clustering of the U.S. West Coast Atmospheric Rivers: Characteristics and Large-scale Patterns
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS: PROCESSES, IMPACTS, AND UNCERTAINTIES I ORAL
atmospheric sciences | 15 december 2023
Yang Zhou, Michael F. Wehner, William D. Collins
From late December 2022 to mid-January 2023, California experienced a series of nine consecutive atmospheric rivers (ARs) making landfall. These inten...
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Evaluating Data-Driven Forecasts of Extreme Weather
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS: FORECAST SKILL, UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION, AND IMPACT MODELING POSTER
atmospheric sciences | 13 december 2023
Ankur Mahesh, Yair Cohen, Noah Brenowitz, Joshua E...
FourCastNet (FCN) is a data-driven weather forecasting model that offers a 5,000x computational speedup over traditional numerical weather prediction ...
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