VL
Member Since 2001
Valerio Lucarini
Professor of Applied Mathematics, University of Leicester
AGU Research
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Melancholia State of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in an Intermediate-Complexity Climate Model
OCEAN SCIENCES 2024
climate and ocean change | 19 february 2024
Reyk Börner, Oliver Mehling, Jost von Hardenberg, ...
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is often viewed as multistable, implying the risk of abrupt transitions between today's flow re...
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A Punctuated Equilibrium Analysis of the Climate Evolution of Cenozoic exhibits a Hierarchy of Abrupt Transitions
ADVANCING PALEOCLIMATOLOGY BY COMBINING DATA, MODELS, AND THEORY III POSTER
paleoceanography and paleoclimatology | 11 december 2023
Denis-Didier Rousseau, Witold Bagniewski, Valerio ...
The Earths climate has experienced numerous critical transitions during its history, which have often been accompanied by massive and rapid changes in...
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Definition of a comprehensive succession of major transitions that shaped the Earth climate during the past 66 Myr
40 YEARS OF ATMOSPHERIC SCALING: FROM CLOUDS TO CLIMATE VARIABILITY ACROSS SCALES III POSTER
nonlinear geophysics | 14 december 2022
Denis-Didier Rousseau, Valerio Lucarini, Witold Ba...
The concept of hierarchy of abrupt transitions is proposed from the results of the Recurrence Qualitative Analyses, Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests and quasi...
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The predictable chaos of rare events in complex systems
EXTREME VARIABILITY AND COMPLEXITY: BRIDGING MATHEMATICS, PHYSICS, AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FROM URBAN SYSTEMS TO CLIMATE, GEOPHYSICS, AND PANDEMICS III POSTER
nonlinear geophysics | 13 december 2022
Tommaso Alberti, Davide Faranda, Valerio Lucarini
Many natural systems show emergent phenomena at different scales, leading to scaling regimes with signatures of chaos at large scales and an apparentl...
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Fingerprinting Heatwaves and Cold Spells Using Large Deviation Theory
EDWARD N. LORENZ LECTURE I
nonlinear geophysics | 15 december 2021
Valerio Lucarini
The climate is a complex, chaotic system with many degrees of freedom. Attaining a deeper level of understanding of climate dynamics is an urgent scie...
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Meridional Energy Transport Extremes and Dominant Modes of Mid-latitudinal Weather Variability in the Northern Hemisphere
THE FLOWS OF ENERGY THROUGH THE CLIMATE SYSTEM III POSTER
global environmental change | 14 december 2021
Valerio Lembo, Federico Fabiano, Vera M. Galfi, Ru...
The extratropical meridional energy transport in the atmosphere is fundamentally sporadic in nature, displaying extremes large enough to affect the ne...
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Inferring the instability of a dynamical system from the skill of data assimilation exercises
ADVANCES IN DATA ASSIMILATION, PREDICTABILITY, AND UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION II ORAL
nonlinear geophysics | 14 december 2021
Yumeng Chen, Alberto Carrassi, Valerio Lucarini
Data assimilation (DA) aims at optimally merging observational data and model outputs to create a coherent statistical and dynamical picture of the sy...
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Large deviations of temperature over Northern Hemisphere regions
WHEN WE DON’T KNOW EVERYTHING: STOCHASTIC APPROACHES, MATHEMATICAL PHYSICS, AND COMPLEXITY ACROSS THE EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES I
nonlinear geophysics | 17 december 2020
Vera M. Galfi, Valerio Lucarini
When applying a large deviation limit law to some data set, one checks usually the convergence of rate function estimates as a function of increasing ...
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